In 2182 Earth Will Have an Impact with a Huge Asteroid
You will probably say-yeah,so what ? not even our childrens won’t be alive then..yes but your nephews will be ! this is a big problem . it’s not for sure,but it’s a chance. and what if it will happen ?
There’s the possibility that we might be hit by an asteroid with potential to cause some significant global turmoil. This long-distance forecast could help mankind determine whether asteroid deflection techniques are warranted, especially when given nearly two centuries of lead time.
“The total impact probability of asteroid ‘(101955) 1999 RQ36’ can be estimated in 0.00092 — approximately one-in-a-thousand chance — but what is most surprising is that over half of this chance (0.00054) corresponds to 2182,” explains María Eugenia Sansaturio, of Spain’s Universidad de Valladolid (UVA) and co-author of the international NEO study.
Of course, a lot can happen to an errant space rock in 172 years, hence the odds of one-in-a-thousand. Although gravitational influences on the asteroid’s trajectory can be fairly accurately calculated, other mechanisms acting on the rock are not so easily modeled.*
“If this object had been discovered after 2080, the deflection would require a technology
that is not currently available,” said Sansaturio. “Therefore, this example suggests that impact monitoring, which up to date does not cover more than 80 or 100 years, may need to encompass more than one century.”
“Thus, the efforts to deviate this type of objects could be conducted with moderate resources, from a technological and financial point of view.”
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